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  • FUEL PRICE FORECASTING WITH A FOCUS ON COAL

    2019-3-7  FUEL PRICE FORECASTING WITH A FOCUS ON COAL APRIL 25, 2017. About Energy Ventures Analysis, Inc. (EVA) ... 5-Year Coal Range (2012-2015) Coal Generation (GWH) 2015 2016 2014 2017 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 Gas Storage level (BCF) Year-2014 First week of March Year-2015 Year-2017

  • Forecasting coking coal prices by means of ARIMA

    Cited by: 12
  • (PDF) Forecasting European thermal coal spot prices

    Price forecasting algorithm for coal and electricity based on ... R. L. (2012). Forecasting. energy commodity prices using neural networks. ... due to the lack of adequate price forecasting and to ...

  • Forecasting European thermal coal spot prices -

    Using as the first data subset values from January 2004 till August 2014 (December 2003 till July 2014 in the case of M C I S t − 1), and forecasting the European thermal coal spot price month by month, the best results of the neural network by means of RMSD and MAPE were given by the combination of only three of the drivers: M C I S t − 1 ...

  • Forecasting on Indonesian Coal Production and Future ...

    Since 2011 Indonesia has become the world’s largest exporter of steam coal. Two supporting factors of Indonesia to be the largest exporter are its enormous production and low operating cost. This paper foresees the production and extraction cost of Indonesian coal in the coming period to evaluate marketing policies and estimate the cost of Indonesian coal supply in domestic market as well as ...

  • (PDF) Forecasting on Indonesian Coal Production and

    Forecasting on Indonesian Coal Production and Future Extraction Cost: A Tool for Formulating Policy on Coal Marketing ... 2012. 2013. Price reference a ... coal price from Indonesia is expected to ...

  • Institute of Economic Forecasting 12. E WITH THE

    2017-2-22  Coal price movements during the last decades can be compared with the movements ... (WEC, 2008). Institute of Economic Forecasting 190 Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting – 2/2010 The price of coal depends on its quality, where much depends on its calorific value, sulphuric ... 2008/2012) * Initial year is different in transition ...

  • Coal 2008-2020 Data 2021-2022 Forecast Price

    Coal prices kicked off July under pressure and losing further ground as oversupply concerns build following strong production in Indonesia and Australia alongside with significantly weaker demand from China and India. The coal price, which has been hovering around $54 per tonne since April, is set to continue its downtrend until the end of the year pressured by growing natural gas-powered ...

  • Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices Using Neural

    2019-7-31  In this paper, we want to study the dynamics of the energy price complex, which has shown large unexpected volatility in the last decade. In order to under-stand the whole picture the entire complex should be studied. In this context, a powerful tool providing accurate price forecasting is needed. Natural gas, coal, and electricity prices,

  • Global coking coal price forecast by type 2019-2023

    This statistic shows the forecasted coking coal price from 2019 to 2023. It is forecasted that the average price for hard coking coal in 2023 will be 148.8 nominal U.S. dollars per metric ton.

  • Forecasting European thermal coal spot prices -

    Using as the first data subset values from January 2004 till August 2014 (December 2003 till July 2014 in the case of M C I S t − 1), and forecasting the European thermal coal spot price month by month, the best results of the neural network by means of RMSD and MAPE were given by the combination of only three of the drivers: M C I S t − 1 ...

  • Coal Price Forecasting and Structural Analysis in China

    Coal plays an important role in China’s energy structure and its price has been continuously decreasing since the second half of 2012. Constant low price of coal affected the profits of coal enterprises and the coal use of its downstream firms; the precision of coal price provides a reference for these enterprises making their management strategy.

  • Global Forecasting Service - Coal

    Coal stocks at China’s major power generators and ports are beginning to ease. Towards the end of the year demand is expected to begin to pick up in China. In addition, some supply cutbacks are expected in several countries in response to the price fall. We estimate an average price in 2012 of around US$95.2/tonne, down by 21.3% from 2011.

  • (PDF) Coal Price Forecasting and Structural Analysis in

    An accurate forecasting model for the future coal price fluctuations provides critical information and early warning for government and policymakers to provide a stable supply of energy which ...

  • Global Forecasting Service - Coal

    In Europe, the price competitiveness of coal compared with natural gas will underpin some support for demand and keep suppliers producing. Stocks and prices We estimate that the coal market recorded a surplus in 2012 of around 37m tonnes, up from a deficit of 16m tonnes a year earlier, as consumption growth slowed and supply increased.

  • Coal Prices Forecast: Long Term, 2018 to 2030 Data

    2019-11-13  Since January 2016, when the price of coal reached a 10-year low, coal prices have rebounded by about 100 percent. Several factors have contributed to this price rebound. First, as part of China's effort to reduce harmful emissions the world's largest coal consumer and producer, reduced its domestic production and increased its imports. Second, the Indian coal industry faced hard times as ...

  • Price Forecasting: Applying Machine Learning

    2020-7-5  Price forecasting is predicting a commodity/product/service price by evaluating various factors like its characteristics, demand, seasonal trends, other commodities’ prices (i.e. fuel), offers from numerous suppliers, etc. Price forecasting may be a feature of consumer-facing travel apps, such as Trainline or Hopper, used to increase customer ...

  • Iron Ore, Coking Coal Price Forecast Beyond 2012 ...

    Continued from Part Two. If the real cost of production for iron ore in China is closer to $70 per ton rather than $130 per ton and iron ore demand is going through no more than a cyclical drop in ...

  • DECC Fossil Fuel Price Projections - GOV UK

    2013-7-15  DECC Fossil Fuel Price Projections 3 DECC 2013 Oil Price Projections All Prices are in 2013 US dollars per barrel Low Central High 2012 113.9 113.9 113.9 2013 95.0 110.0 125.0 2014 93.7 111.3 128.3 2015 92.4 112.7 131.7 2016 91.1 114.0 135.2 2017 89.9 115.4 138.8 2018 88.6 116.8 142.5 2019 87.4 118.2 146.2 2020 86.2 119.7 150.1

  • 煤炭掉期 交易 - Coal Industry Market Forecasting, _图文 ...

    2015-5-31  煤炭掉期(纸货) 交易 ZENNY TRAN – Coal Team Leader Tel. +65 6235 9010 ; Email : [email protected] 我们需要煤炭掉期交易吗 ?? ? 在固定价格和指数相关价格间换货,有这种需求吗?

  • Iron Ore, Coking Coal Price Forecast Beyond 2012 ...

    Continued from Part Two. If the real cost of production for iron ore in China is closer to $70 per ton rather than $130 per ton and iron ore demand is going through no more than a cyclical drop in ...

  • Forecasting European thermal coal spot prices -

    Time series models were selected because the data showed an autocorrelation systematic pattern and also because the number of variables that influence European coal prices is very large, so forecasting coal prices as a dependent variable makes necessary to previously forecast the explanatory variables.

  • Price Forecasting: Applying Machine Learning

    2020-7-5  Price forecasting is predicting a commodity/product/service price by evaluating various factors like its characteristics, demand, seasonal trends, other commodities’ prices (i.e. fuel), offers from numerous suppliers, etc. Price forecasting may be a feature of consumer-facing travel apps, such as Trainline or Hopper, used to increase customer ...

  • Energies Free Full-Text Forecasting of Coal Demand

    The main target of the energy revolution in the new period is coal, but the proportion of coal in primary energy consumption will gradually decrease. As coal is a major producer and consumer of energy, analyzing the trend of coal demand in the future is of great significance for formulating the policy of coal development planning and driving the revolution of energy sources in China.

  • Forecasting Natural Gas Prices Using Wavelets, Time

    位置: 8600 Rockville Pike, Bethesda, MD
  • Study on Forecasting Approach to Short-term Load of SVM ...

    The support vector machine (SVM) has been successfully applied to the load forecasting area, but it has some disadvantages of very large data amount and slow processing speed. Using advantages of the data mining technology in processing large data and ...

  • Draft Report on Regulated Retail Electricity Prices 2012-13

    2012-5-11  contracts for coal supply were dominated by old agreements, and around mid-2011 to 2012 of some those contracts rolled-off and new supply contracts were struck.4 Figure 1 shows that this has resulted in a bid price closer to the SRMC calculated using the Newcastle coal spot price than an $11/MWh SRMC.

  • Australia - price of coal 1980-2030 Statista

    Percentage of disposable income spent on household energy in the UK 2002-2012; ... World Bank, Projection of Australian coal price from 1980 to 2030 (in U.S. dollars per metric ton) Statista ...

  • DECC Fossil Fuel Price Projections - GOV UK

    2013-7-15  DECC Fossil Fuel Price Projections 3 DECC 2013 Oil Price Projections All Prices are in 2013 US dollars per barrel Low Central High 2012 113.9 113.9 113.9 2013 95.0 110.0 125.0 2014 93.7 111.3 128.3 2015 92.4 112.7 131.7 2016 91.1 114.0 135.2 2017 89.9 115.4 138.8 2018 88.6 116.8 142.5 2019 87.4 118.2 146.2 2020 86.2 119.7 150.1

  • Short-Term Energy Outlook - U.S. Energy Information ...

    Coal. EIA expects coal production will decrease by 25% to 530 million short tons (MMst) in 2020. Metallurgical coal mines in Appalachia have slowed production based on reduced demand from global steel production and coking coal, and EIA forecasts production in that

  • Price Forecasting: Applying Machine Learning

    2020-7-5  Price forecasting is predicting a commodity/product/service price by evaluating various factors like its characteristics, demand, seasonal trends, other commodities’ prices (i.e. fuel), offers from numerous suppliers, etc. Price forecasting may be a feature of consumer-facing travel apps, such as Trainline or Hopper, used to increase customer ...

  • Commodity EDGE 2012: Conference Details - Steel,

    Annual Metals Price Forecasting Outlook Report 2020 ... Commodity EDGE 2012: Conference Details ... Aluminum aluminum price China coking coal price copper price gold price iron ore price L1 L9 LME ...

  • Australia - price of coal 1980-2030 Statista

    Percentage of disposable income spent on household energy in the UK 2002-2012; ... World Bank, Projection of Australian coal price from 1980 to 2030 (in U.S. dollars per metric ton) Statista ...

  • Forecasting Coal Unit Competitiveness - Synapse Energy

    2015-4-3  discount rate, in 2012 dollars. This report is an update to the October 2013 Synapse report “Forecasting Coal Unit Competitiveness,”3 and uses the latest available version of CAVT, version 5.0. Version 5.0 uses power plant capacity,

  • Gas Coal consumption in United States and Europe

    2020-6-11  Coal price evolution in Europe Source: Enerdata - Energy Prices Monitor This change in the power mix was particularly marked in the United Kingdom (where coal increased from 30% to 40% in the electricity mix between 2011 and 2012), in the Netherlands (from 22% to 28%), in Spain (from 14% to 17%) and in Italy (from 17% to 19%).

  • Draft Report on Regulated Retail Electricity Prices 2012-13

    2012-5-11  contracts for coal supply were dominated by old agreements, and around mid-2011 to 2012 of some those contracts rolled-off and new supply contracts were struck.4 Figure 1 shows that this has resulted in a bid price closer to the SRMC calculated using the Newcastle coal spot price than an $11/MWh SRMC.

  • Assessment of Prices in the European Electricity

    The price of CIF ARA European coal experienced significant drops during the first half of 2012. The first quarter registered an average price of 114.64 $/ton, 5.98 $/ton less than the same quarter of the past year, and the second quarter registered 101.35 $/ton, 21.99 $/ton less than the second quarter of 2011.

  • Assessment of Electricity Prices in Wester Europe for

    The price of European coal CIF ARA has experienced significant declines in 2012. The average price for the entire year was 99.20 $/ton, representing 20.71 $/ton less than in 2011. The situation given by the mineral abundant supply, low domestic demand in Europe and the uncertain prospects of international importing powers, such as China, are ...

  • DECC Fossil Fuel Price Projections - GOV UK

    2013-1-17  19. The high scenario now starts from a price 15% above the central price estimated for 2012, using the methodology described in the introduction. 20. Otherwise the 2012 high projection assumes a re-linking with gas-to-oil pricing with full re-linking in 2013. This again uses an ‘11% rule’ though based upon DECC’s high oil price

  • Research on energy efficiency, CO2 emissions, energy ...

    2020-7-8  Research on energy efficiency, CO2 emissions, energy sources and energy consumption. Enerdata provides energy report, data, forecast, analysis and consulting on the global energy industry. Expertise include modelling and forecasting, data management, energy and climate change policies.